Ringgit remains in narrow range against US dollar

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KUALA LUMPUR: The ringgit traded in a narrow range as the US dollar continued to firm amid nervous sentiments following concerns over the bleak outlook for the global economy after disappointing China and European data.

At 9 am, the local note fell to 4.6715/6760 against the greenback from Tuesday’s close of 4.6615/6655.

Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd chief economist and social finance head Dr Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid said higher US Treasury yields also hurt demand for emerging currencies.

The long-dated US Treasury securities yielded higher by eight basis points to 4.26 per cent, while the US Dollar Index (DXY) rose 0.52 per cent to 104.776 points.

He said data points in Europe showed that the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for the services economy fell short of expectations to 47.9 points in August, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) declined 7.6 per cent in July, the third consecutive month of negative print.

On top of that, European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde was also somewhat vague about next week’s Governing Council meeting next week.

“The possibility of a rate hike pause should not be ruled out premised on the inflation trajectory. In that sense, this will support the US dollar more as the Federal Reserve is likely to keep a hawkish view on rates.

“Therefore, the US dollar/ringgit pair shall remain in a narrow range of 4.65 to 4.66,” he told Bernama.

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At home, the Monetary Policy Committee meeting will be convened today and will release its statement tomorrow, with the market expecting no changes in the overnight policy rate (OPR).

The ringgit traded mostly higher against a basket of major currencies.

It increased against the euro to 5.0074/0122 from 5.0088/0131 at Tuesday’s close and rose vis-a-vis the Japanese yen to 3.1611/1644 from 3.1670/1699 but depreciated against the British pound to 5.8660/8717 from 5.8534/8585 and

The ringgit traded mostly lower against other Asean currencies.

It was lower against the Singapore dollar to 3.4299/4334 from 3.4238/4272 at Tuesday’s close, went down versus the Thai baht to 13.1414/1592 from 13.1388/1567, was weaker against the Indonesian rupiah at 305.8/306.3 from 305.2/305.6 and was flat against the Philippine peso at 8.19/8.22 from 8.19/8.21.

US dollar rises amid global economic concerns

The US dollar increased in late trading on Tuesday, as economic data from the  European Union, Britain, and Japan boosted the US currency, reported Xinhua.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major peers, was up 0.66 per cent to 104.8080 in late trading.

Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB)’s final Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), released Tuesday by S&P Global, dropped to 46.7 in August from July’s 48.6, a low not seen since November 2020.

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“The eurozone didn’t slip into recession in the first part of the year, but the second half will present a greater challenge,” said Cyrus de la Rubia, chief economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank. “The disappointing numbers contributed to a downward revision of our GDP which stands now at -0.1 percent for the third quarter.”

In late New York trading, the euro fell to US$1.0721 from US$1.0795 in the previous session, and the British pound decreased to US$1.2566 from US$1.2631.

Meanwhile, a rise in oil prices has reignited global inflationary concerns. West Texas Intermediate crude prices have climbed 7 percent in two weeks. While the US oil benchmark was down 0.3 per cent on Tuesday, it remains near its highest level since mid-November 2022.

Bond yields move inversely to prices, so a selloff in bonds pushed yields higher. The yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note rose above 4.23 per cent on Tuesday.

The US dollar bought 147.7660 Japanese yen, higher than 146.4900 Japanese yen of the previous session. The US dollar increased to 0.8896 Swiss francs from 0.8842 Swiss francs, and it increased to 1.3638 Canadian dollars from 1.3593 Canadian dollars. The US dollar was up to 11.1026 Swedish krona from 11.0071 Swedish krona. 

Short-terms rates remain stable

Short-term rates are expected to remain stable today on Bank Negara Malaysia’s (BNM) operations to absorb surplus liquidity from the financial system.

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Liquidity is estimated at RM39.84 billion in the conventional system and RM22.28 billion in Islamic funds.

Today, the central bank will conduct two conventional money market tenders worth RM1 billion for seven days and RM500 million for 14 days.

It will also call for two reverse repo tenders, comprising a RM1.5 billion tender for 30 days and a RM500 million tender for 91 days as well as RM3 billion Bank Negara Interbank Bills (BNIB) for 31 days.

BNM also announced the availability of reverse repo, sale and buy-back agreements as well as collateralised commodity murabahah facilities for tenors of one to three months.

At 4 pm, it will conduct up to RM40.3 billion conventional overnight tender and RM22.4 billion for murabahah overnight tender.

Foreign exchange rates

Following are the opening Malaysian foreign exchange for major currencies today:

1 USD              4.6715/6760
100 yen            3.1611/1644
1 pound            5.8660/8717
1 euro               5.0074/0122
1 SGD              3.4299/4334
100 baht           13.1414/1592
1 mln rupiah     305.8/306.3
100 pesos         8.19/8.22

Exchange rates issued by Malayan Banking Bhd today

 SELLING TT/ODBUYING TTBUYING OD
 1 US Dollar4.73704.60404.5800
 1 Australian Dollar3.03802.91902.9290
 1 Brunei Dollar3.48003.38103.3780
 1 Canadian Dollar3.47003.37903.3670
 1 Euro5.08904.92604.9240
 1 New Zealand Dollar2.79802.69702.6980
 1 Papua N Guinea KinaN/AN/AN/A
 1 Singapore Dollar3.48003.38103.3780
 1 Sterling Pound5.96205.77805.7380
 1 Swiss Franc5.31205.19305.1820
 100 UAE Dirham130.5600123.8500123.2700
 100 Bangladesh Taka4.40004.11503.9020
 100 Chinese Renminbi65.330062.6000N/A
 100 Danish Krone69.970064.420064.4500
 100 Hongkong Dollar61.090058.080057.7400
 100 Indian Rupee5.80005.45005.2500
 100 Indonesian Rupiah0.03210.02910.0241
 100 Japanese Yen3.21603.11503.1170
 100 New Taiwan Dollar15.9000N/AN/A
 100 Norwegian Krone45.380041.750041.4500
 100 Pakistan Rupee1.57001.47001.2700
 100 Philippine Peso8.44007.96007.7800
 100 Qatar Riyal131.5000124.8400124.2500
 100 Saudi Riyal127.7900121.3200120.7500
 100 South Africa Rand25.640023.160022.8700
 100 Sri Lanka Rupee1.52001.39001.1900
 100 Swedish Krona44.030040.120040.1500
 100 Thai Baht13.970012.380012.0200

Gold up

The physical price of gold as at 9.30 am stood at RM279.71 per gramme, down 50 sen from RM280.21 at 5 pm yesterday. – BERNAMA

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